The CLUELESS “KNOW-IT-ALL”
“Dunning-Kruger Effect”
Musings of a Veteran
By
VIKRAM KARVE
PROLOGUE
I was fortunate that I read the classic
military war novel Catch-22 before I joined the Navy.
Reading Catch-22 gave me a better
understand the curious goings on and peculiar behaviour of some of the
idiosyncratic characters I came across in the Navy and it helped me maintain my
sanity in the rather peculiar Naval Environment.
There were plenty of “Cathcarts”
“Dreedles” “Scheisskopfs” “Peckems” “Korns” “Captain Blacks” “Milo
Minderbinders” “Doc Daneekas” and “Wintergreens” around – and occasionally –
you also noticed a “Yossarian” or a “Dunbar”.
In fact – during my long career in the Navy –
I saw an analogous caricature of every character of Catch-22 – including some
of the female characters.
I am sure you have read Catch-22.
In case you haven’t read Catch-22 as yet
– do read the book – it will surely bring a smile to your lips.
By the way – “Catch-22” is a military term
that is confusing and difficult to describe. In short – its basic meaning is
that if there was a rule – no matter what the rule is – there is always an
exception to it. There is always a “catch” to everything.
DUNNING KRUGER EFFECT
There are many themes and morals in
Catch-22 and one such concept which I found relevant in today’s Navy (and the Defence
Services – and indeed – in all walks of life) is enunciated in chapter XI – the
“Dunning-Kruger Effect” exemplified by the character of “Captain Black”.
In the field of psychology – the “Dunning-Kruger
Effect” is a cognitive bias in which people mistakenly assess their own
cognitive ability as much greater than it actually is.
In short – they overestimate their own competence and
abilities.
The Dunning-Kruger effect is a type of cognitive bias
in which people believe that they are smarter and more capable than they really
are. Incompetent people do not possess the skills needed to recognize their own
incompetence. The combination of poor self-awareness and low cognitive ability
leads them to overestimate their own capabilities.
In the novel “Catch-22” – the character
of “Captain Black” is a metaphorical example of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect”.
Captain Black is an “intelligence
officer”.
He feels that this means he is the most
intelligent of the officers.
Captain Black is clearly displaying
characteristics of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect”.
He thinks that an “intelligence” officer
must necessarily be intelligent – and – ironically – this speaks of his lack of
intelligence.
(You must heard the saying: “Military Intelligence” is an Oxymoron)
Despite being a “non-combatant” –
Captain Black feels that he deserves to be the Squadron Commander – solely in
view of his own perception that he is the most intelligent officer in the
squadron since he is the squadron “intelligence” officer.
Incidentally – in the novel Catch-22 –
Captain Black is never shown doing any actual intelligence work – or – anything
very intelligent.
Here is an appropriately paraphrased
extract from Catch-22 (Chapter XI) on Captain Black:
“…Captain Black thought that he was the logical man to
be the Squadron Commander. To begin with – he was the Squadron Intelligence
Officer – which meant that he was more intelligent than everyone else in the
squadron. True – he was not on combat status – as all Squadron Commanders
customarily were – but this was really another powerful argument in his favour
– since his life was in no danger and he would be able to fill the post for as
long as his country needed him…”
(Hope Civil Services Officers don’t use
this argument and feel that they are better suited to command the Military Armed
Forces…!!!)
In your organization – aren’t there
persons like “Captain Black” – who – despite being clueless – he thinks that he
is a super-intelligent “know-it-all”…?
Long ago – I once came across a Senior
Naval Officer – who was a self-proclaimed technical “expert”.
Though he was basically a Marine
Engineer – he thought he was “cat’s whiskers” in the latest modern state-of-the-art
technologies – an “authority” on all technical matters.
To our horror – we discovered how
clueless he was – when we realized that he didn’t know the difference between
Electromagnetic Wave Propagation (in the air) and Sound Propagation
(underwater) and he was confused on the basic principles of missiles and
torpedoes.
Despite his “cluelessness” – he behaved
like a “know-it-all”
Once – we saw an infantry officer
pontificating on electronic warfare – though it was apparent that he was quite “clueless”
on the subject.
The worst is when such self-styled
experts (who are actually clueless) are appointed in responsible positions – which
can potentially result in disastrous consequences.
Thanks to the “Dunning-Kruger Effect” –
a clueless “Generalist” starts imagining himself to be a “know-it-all”
Specialist.
We see good organizations being ruined
by such clueless “know-it-all” Generalists who seem to be displacing
Technocrats everywhere.
We see persons displaying characteristics
of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect” everywhere – in politics, in the business and corporate
world, in the bureaucracy, in the military, and indeed, in all professions, and
in personal relationships too.
These persons fail to recognize their
own incompetence.
They are not aware of their lack of ability.
On the contrary – they overestimate
their own competence and capabilities – and – they have a self-perception of “illusory
superiority”.
They are not “imposters” who are aware
of their own incompetence and try to “fake” it.
Those afflicted by the “Dunning-Kruger
Effect” are not “faking it” – they actually believe that they are
super-competent and have exceptional abilities (despite the opposite being true).
They are blissfully unaware of their own
incompetence.
This is because their own personal incompetence
deprives them of the mental ability to realize just how inept they are.
As per the “Peter Principle” – you will
rise to your level of incompetence.
Sadly – when you “achieve” your level of
incompetence – you will not realize that you have become incompetent.
You will not realize that you are
incompetent – because – having achieved your level of incompetence – you no
longer have the competence to discern that you are incompetent.
You will be blissfully unaware of your own
incompetence and may display symptoms of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect”.
Not only will you fail to recognize your
own incompetence – but – on the contrary – you will feel confident that you are
actually super-competent.
Though you are actually incompetent –
you will be overconfident and overestimate your capabilities.
(In short – you will become a “Walter Mitty” type of character – living in an imaginary world of
your own making)
CONCLUSION
The “Dunning-Kruger Effect” is a type of
cognitive bias in which people believe that they are smarter and more capable
than they really are.
Incompetent people do not possess the
skills needed to recognize their own incompetence.
The combination of poor self-awareness
and low cognitive ability leads them to overestimate their own capabilities.
Amusingly – this ignorance of their own incompetence
creates a sense of overconfidence in “victims” of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect”.
Dear Reader – look around you – do you
see examples of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect” – persons who are clueless – but who
behave as if they are “know-it-all”.
Have you seen persons pontificating with
confidence on topics about which they are obviously clueless – thereby exposing
their ignorance and becoming laughing stocks….?
Look inwards – Dear Reader – and introspect.
Have you become a victim of the “Dunning-Kruger Effect”….?
Do you feel that you are “smarter” than you actually
are…?
VIKRAM KARVE
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